From winning the AL West to missing the playoffs completely, the Texas Rangers still have plenty to figure out.
: This is where the Rangers currently sit, a game up on Seattle. In effect, though, it’s two games at the moment, since the Rangers currently control the tiebreaker between the teams with a 5-1 lead in the series, but with seven games to play.: Recency bias would seem to favor the Twins. The Rangers played their entire seven-game season series against the Twins in final six weeks of the regular season, going just 2-5. In the two wins, they scored the winning runs in their final at-bat.
: Make up the half-game difference in standings with Toronto. The Rangers own the tiebreaker against the Jays, so they would jump ahead of them in that situation. In this case, they’d play at the loser of the AL East. Baltimore currently holds a two-game lead over Tampa Bay that is essentially three due to the Orioles owning the tiebreaker. The Orioles play three games against Houston still; Tampa Bay has six remaining with Toronto.
: Make up effectively a two-game deficit to Houston . The Astros begin the week with three games against Baltimore and start the final week with three games at Seattle. If the Rangers catch Houston, the AL West winner is likely to earn a first-round bye over Central champ Minnesota and would host the start of the Division Series against the winner of Minnesota and the final wild card team.This is the longshot. The Rangers chances to win the division have dropped from 56.8% on August 15 to 11.
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