The saying goes that defense wins championships. But it's largely been top-tier offenses winning the NCAA championship in March Madness.
Seventeen of the last 20 NCAA champions finished in the top 10 in adjusted offensive efficiency, which measures points scored per 100 possessions. Four — Florida in its 2007 repeat, UNC in 2009, Duke in 2010 and Villanova in 2018 — were ranked No. 1. And 14 champions have ranked better in offensive than defensive efficiency, including every year going back to Duke in 2015.
By comparison, 10 of the 20 champions finished outside the top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency for points allowed per 100 possessions. That includes the past two champs, Kansas last year and Baylor in 2021 . Luke Hancock is linked to one of the outliers, having been named Most Outstanding Player of the 2013 Final Four in Louisville's later-vacated run to the trophy. That squad ranked No. 1 in defensive efficiency and seventh offensively , and Hancock appreciates the value of pressure defense after having played for Rick Pitino.
There's one glaring example from recent years: Virginia, with a defensive-heavy approach and a slow tempo that is seemingly determined to grind hardwood into dust. The Cavaliers have had first-round tournament exits in three of their past four appearances. But they won the 2019 championship when they had a trio of NBA-bound shot makers in DeAndre Hunter, Ty Jerome and Kyle Guy to complement that defense, including Hunter hitting big shots
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Looking for a Final Four edge? Think offensive efficiencyThe saying goes that defense wins championships.
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