Since the latest fighting exploded, Sudan’s citizens have been trying to identify the fateful juncture at which their nation turned off the democratic path.
NAIROBI — In the heady days of 2019, after unarmed demonstrators in Sudan surrounded the army headquarters, chanting in defiance of an aging despot, the country’s citizens dreamed of freedom. Sudan had suffered, since its independence six decades earlier, through long stretches of military rule interrupted only by brief spells of democracy.
Ultimately, it boils down to one question: How do you get the men with money and guns to give up their weapons? “If the international community did everything right, it’s still not clear that the revolution would have succeeded,” he said. “After the transitional constitution was signed, it was always clear the military were going to keep power.”
Former finance minister Ibrahim al-Badawi said the June 2021 deal he negotiated with a consortium led by the International Monetary Fund laying out conditions for debt relief was a direct threat to the generals and their allies. Companies producing weapons and ammunition were to be audited, he said, and the business interests of the security forces examined.The generals “are very careful observers,” he said.
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