Biden banned Russian oil after refusing to do so. This reversal is surprising; the ban increases gas prices and doesn’t serve foreign policy interests. The alternative was to look weak on foreign policy. This reversal raises questions about his ability to push for unpopular policies.
, an increasingly rare occurrence in American politics. This is probably because Americans want to look strong in foreign policy, especially when American troops are not involved. People may not realize that it will raise gas prices, which they do not want. But then people do not always behave rationally and connect the policy dots.
Supporting the ban was especially important for Democrats who are smarting from the poorly executed withdrawal from Afghanistan. Plus, there is a sufficient number of voters originally from Eastern European countries who are angry at Putin and would like the U.S. to respond forcefully to the Ukrainian invasion. The possibility of a voter backlash has motivated someto dissociate themselves from the Democratic Socialists of America’s call for disbanding NATO.
For Republicans, the import ban increases gas prices, which they can blame on Democrats. Moreover, rising gas prices put climate supporters on the defensive and push climate change off the policy agenda. Republicans can make the argument for domestic energy security and force the Biden administration to backpaddle on energy transition. Indeed,Democrats have little choice but to go along with the ban.
In sum, Biden’s reversal on the Russian oil ban reveals the administration’s shaky hold on domestic politics which could have implications in other areas, such as climate policy. As the Ukrainian crisis plays out, it is not clear how high oil prices will rise and what additional policy reversals Biden administration might be forced to make.
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