The European Central Bank will hike its key interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the next two meetings, according to economists polled by Reuters, many of whom also said the bigger risk was rates could go higher still in the future.
policymakers have reiterated the central bank may need to raise interest rates for longer than previously thought until underlying inflation shows significant signs of cooling.to a 25 basis points hike at its May meeting after a series of 75 and 50 basis point moves, was expected to raise its deposit rate again by a quarter of a percentage point next month to 3.50%, according to all 62 economists polled on May 10-15.
"The messaging from several ECB speakers ... has clearly been on the hawkish side since the meeting, and their consumer expectations survey just showed higher inflation expectations," noted Ruben Segura-Cayuela, Europe economist at Bank of America. But ECB President Christine Lagarde said the ECB was "not Fed-dependent" and would not pause as rates were not yet "sufficiently restrictive".As inflation continues to run well over three times the ECB's 2% target, all but one of 28 respondents said the bigger risk was the peak interest rate could be higher than they currently expect.
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