Vivien Lou Chen is a Markets Reporter for MarketWatch. You can follow her on Twitter @vivienlouchen.
September’s better-than-expected official jobs report shocked pockets of Wall Street on Friday, prompting traders and some investors to consider a greater likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate hike in less than four weeks.
It’s the second time this week that data tied to the U.S.’s unexpectedly strong labor market has forced bond traders to reconsider how high interest rates need to be and for how long. Tuesday’s job-openings data, which reflected robust appetite for labor, sent 10- and 30-year rates to their highest levels since August-September of 2007. Then on Wednesday, bond traders loaded up on contracts and put record sums of money on the outcome of the Fed’s Oct. 31-Nov.
BMO Capital Markets rates strategist Ian Lyngen, senior portfolio manager Bryce Doty of Sit Investment Associates, and Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, were among those who expect Friday’s data to either boost the chances of a rate hike on Nov. 1, or at least leave such a move in play. Another quarter-point rate hike would push the Fed’s main interest-rate target to 5.5%-5.75%.
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