College football odds, picks and prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs. Week 5 betting free pick and game analysis.
After falling to Texas and not blowing out USF, it looked like Alabama might be in for a rough season by Nick Saban’s standards, but then they handled business against Ole Miss in a game many were picking the Rebels to win.
In both the first two conference games of the season, the Bulldogs defense got beat up by LSU and South Carolina. Arnett’s defense gave up a combined 78 points and things won’t be any easier against Alabama.season has been quarterback play, but after renaming Jalen Milroe the starter against Ole Miss, Tommy Rees’ offense appeared to find its identity.
While Arnett is known for his defense, his group this year has taken a step back. They head into the Bama game ranked 97th in EPA per play, 110th in EPA per pass, and 61st in EPA per rush on defense. Scoring points will be the tougher part for Alabama, but stopping the Rebels offensive attack should be a piece of cake.
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